Ndi kufulumira kwa kusintha kwa mphamvu padziko lonse lapansi, makampani osungira mphamvu ku US awonetsa chitukuko champhamvu, ndipo chitukuko chake chamtsogolo chikuwonekera makamaka m'mbali zotsatirazi:
Kukula kosalekeza kwa kukula kwa msika:Malinga ndi deta ya EIA, kuyambira mu Novembala 2024, mafayilo akuluakulu osungira mphamvu ku US adafika pa 56GW, kukula kwa 81% pachaka; mafayilo a PV adafika pa 108GW, kukula kwa 20.6% pachaka. 2025-2028, mphamvu yonse yosungira mphamvu ku US ikuyembekezeka kukhala 74.3GW/257.6GWh, pomwe kuchuluka kwa kukula kwa pachaka kwa malo osungira mphamvu pa gridi ndi 25%. Mwa izi, malo osungira mphamvu pa gridi akuyembekezeka kukula pamlingo wa 25% pachaka, ndikuwonjezera 10.4GW/30.6GWh pofika kumapeto kwa 2024, ndi kuchuluka kwa 63.7GW/222GWh pazaka zisanu 2024-2028. Makamaka chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwa mapulojekiti osungidwa, poganizira kuchepetsa chiwongola dzanja ndi kukwera kwa mitengo ya batri, kupita patsogolo kwa ntchito yomanga mapulojekiti akuluakulu osungiramo zinthu kukuyembekezeka kufulumira mu 2025. Kuphatikiza apo, malo osungiramo mphamvu ogawidwa adzayambitsanso chitukuko cha 12GW chomwe chidzagwiritsidwa ntchito pakati pa 2024 - 2028, chomwe malo osungiramo mphamvu m'nyumba anali 80%, mtengo wotsika wa malo osungiramo mphamvu womwe umadalira kuwonjezeka kwa chidwi cha anthu pamagetsi okhazikika, udzakulitsa msika wosungiramo mphamvu, malo osungiramo mphamvu m'mafakitale ndi m'mabizinesi nawonso adzakula ndi 294%.
Zatsopano zaukadaulo zolimbikitsa chitukuko cha:Mu kafukufuku ndi chitukuko cha ukadaulo wosungira mphamvu ku United States, mabatire a lithiamu-ion pakadali pano ndi omwe akulamulira, koma ofufuza akufufuza mwachangu ukadaulo watsopano wosungira mphamvu. Monga mabatire amadzimadzi, mabatire olimba ndi ukadaulo wina wosungira mphamvu kwa nthawi yayitali wakhala malo ofufuzira otchuka, mabatire amadzimadzi, mphamvu yosungira mphamvu, kuyatsa ndi kutulutsa mphamvu; mabatire olimba akuyembekezeka kuthetsa vuto la chitetezo cha batire la lithiamu-ion ndikuwonjezera magwiridwe antchito. Nthawi yomweyo, ukadaulo wina watsopano wosungira mphamvu ukuonekeranso, monga "dongosolo lowonjezera kutentha kwa nthaka" kutengera chitukuko cha ukadaulo wosungira mphamvu zamakanika (sitolo yapadziko lapansi) wamaliza chiwonetsero chamalonda, kuwonetsa maola 6 - 10 a mphamvu yosungira mphamvu komanso mtengo wotsika. Kuphatikiza apo, ukadaulo wanzeru wowongolera machitidwe osungira mphamvu upitilizabe kusintha kuti akwaniritse bwino kulumikizana ndi gridi ndikuwonjezera magwiridwe antchito komanso kukhazikika.
Kupitiliza kuthandizira mfundo:Thandizo la mfundo kuchokera ku maboma a federal ndi states aku US ndilofunika kwambiri pakukula kwa makampani osungira mphamvu. Mulingo wa federal wa Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) udzakhala mapulojekiti odziyimira pawokha osungira mphamvu mu ndondomeko ya msonkho (ITC), bola ngati mphamvu yosungira mphamvu ili yoposa 5kWh, mutha kusangalala ndi mwayi wosankha misonkho, zomwe zimalimbikitsa kwambiri msika wosungira mphamvu. Mayiko akhazikitsanso mfundo, monga California yokhala ndi pulogalamu yolimbikitsira anthu kupanga magetsi (SGIP) kuti ikhale ndi gawo lalikulu pamsika wosungira mphamvu, ndipo akukonzekera kuwonjezera 15GW ya malo osungira magetsi atsopano asanafike mamita m'zaka khumi zikubwerazi. M'tsogolomu, mfundoyi ikuyembekezeka kupitiliza kulimbikitsa chitukuko cha makampani osungira mphamvu, ndikupititsa patsogolo chitukuko cha makampani osungira mphamvu.
Kapangidwe ka msika kamakhala kokonzedwa bwino nthawi zonse:Msika wosungira mphamvu ku US umagawidwa makamaka mu msika wa pre-meter (kusungira mphamvu kwakukulu, kuphatikiza kusungirako kwatsopano kwa mphamvu ndi kusungirako mphamvu kodziyimira pawokha) ndi msika wa post-meter (kusungirako mphamvu zamafakitale ndi zamalonda ndi kusungirako nyumba). Pakadali pano, mphamvu yosungira mphamvu yomwe yakhazikitsidwa patebulo ndi yoposa 90%, yomwe ndi mphepo yamkuntho. Mtsogolomu, ndi chitukuko cha mphamvu yogawidwa, msika wa post-meter, makamaka msika wosungiramo nyumba ukuyembekezeka kubweretsa kukula mwachangu. Kufunikira kwa mabanja kuti azidzidalira okha ndi mphamvu zobwezera kumawonjezeka, zomwe zithandizira kukulitsa msika wosungiramo nyumba, ndipo kapangidwe ka msika kadzakhala koyenera kwambiri.
Mgwirizano wapafupi wa mafakitale:Kukula kwa makampani osungira mphamvu kudzayendetsa chitukuko cha mgwirizano pakati pa makampani osungira mphamvu ndi otsikira. Mgwirizano pakati pa ogulitsa zinthu zopangira mabatire, opanga mabatire apakati ndi makina osungira mphamvu, opanga mapulojekiti osungira mphamvu ndi ogwiritsa ntchito udzakhala pafupi kwambiri. Mwachitsanzo, kuti akwaniritse zosowa za msika wa mabatire otsika mtengo komanso ogwira ntchito bwino, opanga mabatire adzalimbitsa mgwirizano ndi ogulitsa zinthu zopangira kuti atsimikizire kuti zinthu zopangira zilipo bwino ndikuchepetsa ndalama; opanga makina osungira mphamvu ndi opanga mapulojekiti amagwira ntchito limodzi kuti apange njira zosungira mphamvu zomwe zakonzedwa kutengera zochitika zosiyanasiyana zogwiritsira ntchito. Kukula kwa mgwirizano kwa makampani kudzakweza mpikisano wa makampani onse osungira mphamvu ndikulimbikitsa chitukuko chachangu cha makampani.
Komabe, makampani osungira mphamvu ku US akukumananso ndi mavuto angapo, monga ndalama zambiri zoyambira mu makina osungira mphamvu, mavuto obwezeretsanso ndi kutaya mabatire, komanso zomangamanga zakale m'malo ena kuti zichepetse kufalikira kwa makina osungira mphamvu. Koma ponseponse, chifukwa cha kufunikira kwa msika, luso laukadaulo ndi chithandizo cha mfundo ndi zina, makampani osungira mphamvu ku US ali ndi mwayi waukulu wopita patsogolo mtsogolo.
