Ngokusho kombiko we-International Energy Agency (IEA) Electricity 2025, kulindeleke ukuthi amandla elanga ahlangabezane cishe nengxenye yokukhula kwesidingo sikagesi emhlabeni ngo-2027.
Umbiko ohamba phambili wale nhlangano ubikezela ukuthi ngenxa yokwanda kokusetshenziswa kwezimboni, ukusetshenziswa kwe-air conditioner, ukufakwa kukagesi, kanye nesidingo sesikhungo sedatha, ukusetshenziswa kukagesi emhlabeni wonke kuzokhula ngesivinini esikhulu eminyakeni yamuva nje, kukhuphuke cishe ngo-4% minyaka yonke kuze kube ngu-2027.
Umbiko uchaza ukuthi ukwehliswa kwezindleko okuqhubekayo kanye nokusekelwa kwenqubomgomo kuzoqhuba ukuthunyelwa kwamandla elanga, okuvumela ukuthi kuhlangatshezwane nengxenye yesidingo sikagesi esengeziwe. Lesi sibikezelo sidlula isabelo sika-40% selanga esinegalelo ekukhuleni kwesidingo sikagesi emhlabeni wonke ngo-2024. Ngo-2027, imithombo yamandla ekhipha ugesi omncane—kufaka phakathi amandla avuselelekayo kanye namandla enuzi—kulindeleke ukuthi ihlangabezane nayo yonke isidingo sikagesi esikhulayo emhlabeni.
Umbiko we-IEA uqhubeka uqokomisa ukuthi ngo-2024, ukukhiqizwa kukagesi welanga emhlabeni wonke kudlule uphawu lwe-2,000TWh, okubalwa u-7% wokukhiqizwa kukagesi okuphelele—ukwenyuka kusuka ku-5% ngo-2023.
Lokhu kusho ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kukagesi welanga kukhule ngo-30% ngo-2024, okubonisa izinga lokukhula eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngo-2017, ngokunyuka kwaminyaka yonke okungu-475TWh, okuyirekhodi eliphezulu kakhulu. I-IEA iphawula ukuthi ngaphezu kwengxenye yalokhu kukhula kuvela eShayina.
Ngo-2024, ukukhiqizwa kukagesi welanga kwadlula ukukhiqizwa kukagesi osebenzisa amalahle e-European Union, kwadlula isabelo esingu-10% ekuxubeni kwamandla. Eminyakeni emithathu ezayo, i-IEA ibikezela ukuthi amandla elanga nawo azodlula isilinganiso esingu-10% eShayina, e-United States, naseNdiya.
Ngesikhathi sokubikezela sika-2025-2027, ukukhiqizwa kwamandla elanga emhlabeni wonke kulindeleke ukuthi kwande cishe ngo-1,800TWh. Ngo-2027, lokhu kukhula kuzokwenza amandla elanga abe umthombo wesibili ngobukhulu emhlabeni okhipha ugesi ophansi, owesibili kuphela ngemuva kwamandla e-hydropower.
Okwamanje, imithombo yamandla avuselelekayo kulindeleke ukuthi idlule amandla asebenzisa amalahle kulo nyaka. Okokuqala ngqa eminyakeni eyikhulu, isabelo samalahle ekukhiqizweni kukagesi emhlabeni wonke kulindeleke ukuthi sehle ngaphansi kwengxenye eyodwa kwezintathu.
Lo mbiko uphinde ugcizelele ukubaluleka kokuqonda izikhathi lapho ukukhishwa kwe-PV yelanga kwehla ngenxa yezimo zezulu. "Ngenkathi izenzakalo ezinjalo zingase zibeke ingcindezi ezinhlelweni zamandla, ukuba namandla okwanele okuhambisa kanye nokugcina isikhathi eside kuzobaluleka," kweluleka umbiko.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, umbiko uqokomisa izinselelo ezibalulekile izinhlelo zikagesi ezibhekane nazo ngo-2024. I-IEA ithi izehlakalo ezifana neziphepho zasebusika, iziphepho, ukucima kukagesi, kanye nesomiso zigcizelela isidingo sokuthuthukisa ukuqina kohlelo lukagesi.
Kwezinye izifunda, ukwenyuka kwentengo kagesi ngobuningi kuholele emananini aphansi ngobuningi. Ngokusho kwe-IEA, lezi zenzakalo ngokuvamile zibonisa ukungalingani kwesistimu ngenxa yemingcele yezobuchwepheshe, yemithetho, noma yenkontileka, okuqinisa isidingo esikhulayo sokuguquguquka kwegridi okuthuthukisiwe.
