I kēia mau lā iho nei, ua wānana ka ʻOihana ʻIke Ikehu o ka US Department of Energy (EIA) e hiki aku ana ka mana o ka ikehu lā i 32.5GW ma ka makahiki 2025, e ʻoi aku ka nui o ka mana mālama ikehu ma mua o 18GW, e hoʻonui ʻia ka mana makani i 7.7GW, a e piʻi aʻe ka mana o ke kinoea kūlohelohe no ka wahie mōʻalihaku ma 4.4GW.
Wahi a ka hōʻike waihona mīkini hana mua o ka EIA (EIA-860M), ʻo ka huina o nā hoʻohui mana hou i ka makahiki 2025 e hiki aku i kahi 63GW, e hōʻailona ana i ka hoʻohui mana makahiki kiʻekiʻe loa ma ka mōʻaukala o ʻAmelika. I ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana, hōʻike ka ʻikepili EIA ua hoʻolaha ʻia he 48.6GW o ka mana hana ma ka pae 2024, ʻo ia ka huina kiʻekiʻe loa mai ka makahiki 2002, i ka wā i hoʻopili ʻia ai kahi 60GW o ka mana hou i ka grid.
Ua manaʻo ʻia ka ikehu lā e helu no 51.5% o nā hoʻohui mana hou a pau i ka makahiki 2025. E alakaʻi ʻo Texas me 11.6GW o ka mana lā hou, e hana ana ma kahi o 36% o ka huina o nā hoʻohui lā. Ma hope ʻo Kaleponi me 2.9GW, ʻoiai ʻelima mau mokuʻāina ʻē aʻe—ʻo Indiana, Arizona, Michigan, Florida, a me New York—e manaʻo ʻia e hoʻolaha ma luna o 1GW o ka mana.
Manaʻo ʻia e ulu nui ka mana mālama ikehu, e hoʻohui ana i 18.2GW. ʻOiai ʻaʻole hāʻawi ka hōʻike i nā kikoʻī e pili ana i ka lōʻihi o ka mālama ʻana, ʻo nā mākeke pākahiko nui ʻelua, ʻo Kaleponi a me Texas, e hoʻolaha pinepine i nā ʻōnaehana me nā mana mālama ʻehā hola a me ʻelua a me ka hapa hola.
Manaʻo ʻia e hoʻohui ʻo Texas i 6.7GW o kahi mālama uila hou, a ukali ʻia e Kaleponi me 4.3GW a me ʻAlikona me 3.6GW. ʻOi aku ma mua o 80% o ka nui o ka mālama uila hou o kēia mau mokuʻāina ʻekolu.
ʻO nā papahana pākahiko nui ʻelua i hoʻolālā ʻia no 2025 he 500MW ka mana o kēlā me kēia. Aia kekahi ma Kern County, Kaleponi, a e hoʻonoho pū ʻia me kahi hale hana mana solar 500MW—ʻo ia ka hale hana mana nui loa i hoʻolālā ʻia no ka makahiki. ʻO ka lua o ka papahana, ma Wharton County, Texas, e hui pū ʻia me kahi hale hana solar 451.6MW, e lilo ia i lua o ka hale hana solar nui loa i hoʻolālā ʻia no 2025.
Hōʻike ka Short-Term Energy Outlook a EIA e hoʻohui ka ikehu lā liʻiliʻi (hale noho, kalepa, a me ka ʻoihana) i 7GW o ka mana, e lawe mai ana i ka nui o ka ikehu lā i hoʻolaha ʻia i 60.6GW ma ka hopena o 2025. Ke hui pū ʻia me ka 32.5GW AC (42GW DC) o ka mana pono, hiki i ka nui o ka hoʻolaha ʻana o ka module solar i kēia makahiki ke hoʻokokoke aku i 50GW.
I ka wā mua, ua wānana ka EIA e hoʻolaha aku ʻo ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa ma luna o 50GW o ka mana o ka lā i ka makahiki 2024, me kāna hōʻike mana o Nowemapa e mālama ana i kēlā kuhi. Eia nō naʻe, hōʻike ka ʻikepili hou loa ua hoʻololi hou ka EIA i kāna kuhi mana o 2024 i lalo ma kahi o 7GW. Hoʻohālikelike kēia hoʻoponopono me ka piʻi ʻana o nā hoʻolaha i Ianuali 2025.
I kēia manawa, ua manaʻo ʻo Bloomberg New Energy Finance e hōʻea ana nā hoʻonohonoho ʻana o ka lā ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa i kahi kokoke i 50GW ma 2024.
