Nō nā tata nei, i matapaetia e te Tari Pūngao o Amerika (EIA) ka eke te kaha o te pūngao rā ki te 32.5GW, ka neke ake te kaha rokiroki pūngao i te 18GW, e matapaetia ana ka piki ake te kaha hau ki te 7.7GW, ā, ka piki ake te kaha hau māori ki te 4.4GW.
E ai ki te pūrongo rarangi hiko ā-marama hou a te EIA (EIA-860M), ko te tapeke o ngā tāpiringa kaha hou i te tau 2025 ka eke ki te 63GW, koinei te tāpiringa kaha ā-tau teitei rawa atu i roto i te hītori o Amerika. Hei whakataurite, e whakaatu ana ngā raraunga EIA i te 48.6GW o te kaha tauine-pūnaha i whakatinanahia i te tau 2024, ko te tapeke teitei rawa atu mai i te tau 2002, i te wā i honoa ai te tata ki te 60GW o te kaha hou ki te whatunga hiko.
E matapaetia ana ko te pūngao rā te 51.5% o ngā tāpiringa kaha hou katoa i te tau 2025. Ko Texas te kaiārahi me te 11.6GW o te kaha pūngao rā hou, tata ki te 36% o te tapeke o ngā tāpiringa pūngao rā. Ko California te mea whai muri me te 2.9GW, ā, e rima atu anō ngā kawanatanga—Indiana, Arizona, Michigan, Florida, me New York—e matapaetia ana ka whakatinanahia e ia kawanatanga neke atu i te 1GW o te kaha.
E matapaetia ana ka tino piki ake te kaha rokiroki pūngao, ka tāpirihia ki te 18.2GW. Ahakoa kāore te pūrongo e whakarato taipitopito mō te roa o te rokiroki, ko ngā mākete pākahiko nui e rua, arā, ko California me Texas, e whakamahi ana i ngā pūnaha me ngā kaha rokiroki e whā hāora me te rua me te hawhe hāora.
E matapaetia ana ka tāpirihia e Texas te 6.7GW o te rokiroki hou, ā, ka whai ake ko California me te 4.3GW me Arizona me te 3.6GW. Neke atu i te 80% o te kaha rokiroki pākahiko hou katoa ka kapi i ēnei kawanatanga e toru.
Ko ngā kaupapa pākahiko nui rawa atu e rua kua whakamaheretia mō te tau 2025, he 500MW te kaha o ia kaupapa. Kei Kern County, California tētahi, ā, ka tū tahi me tētahi tipu hiko pūngao rā 500MW—ko te tipu hiko nui rawa atu tēnei kua whakamaheretia mō te tau. Ko te tuarua o ngā kaupapa, kei Wharton County, Texas, ka honoa ki tētahi whare hiko pūngao rā 451.6MW, ka waiho koia te tuarua o ngā tipu hiko pūngao rā nui rawa atu kua whakaritea mō te tau 2025.
E whakaatu ana te Tirohanga Pūngao Poto a te EIA ka tāpirihia e te hiko pūngao rā iti (nohoanga, arumoni, me te ahumahi) te 7GW o te kaha, ka eke te kaha katoa o te hiko pūngao rā kua tohatohahia ki te 60.6GW i te mutunga o te tau 2025. Ina honoa ki te kaha tauine-ratonga 32.5GW AC (42GW DC), ka tata pea te whakatinanatanga o te kōwae pūngao rā i tēnei tau ki te 50GW.
I te tīmatanga, i matapaetia e te EIA ka neke atu i te 50GW o te kaha o te rā ka whakatinanahia e te US i te tau 2024, ā, e mau tonu ana taua whakatau tata i roto i tana pūrongo kaha o Noema. Heoi, e whakaatu ana ngā raraunga hou kua whakahoutia e te EIA tana whakatau tata kaha mō te tau 2024 ki raro mā te 7GW pea. E hangai ana tēnei arotakenga ki te pikinga o ngā whakatinanatanga e matapaetia ana i te marama o Hānuere 2025.
I taua wā anō, e matapaetia ana e Bloomberg New Energy Finance ka tata ki te 50GW te nui o ngā whakaurunga pūngao rā o te US i te tau 2024.
