Tsis ntev los no, Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Zog ntawm Tebchaws Meskas (EIA) tau kwv yees tias txog xyoo 2025, lub peev xwm hnub ci rau cov chaw siv hluav taws xob yuav ncav cuag 32.5GW, lub peev xwm khaws cia hluav taws xob yuav tshaj 18GW me ntsis, lub zog cua yuav ntxiv 7.7GW, thiab lub peev xwm roj av fossil yuav nce 4.4GW.
Raws li daim ntawv qhia txog cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tshiab tshaj plaws ntawm EIA (EIA-860M), tag nrho cov peev xwm tshiab ntxiv rau xyoo 2025 yuav ncav cuag kwv yees li 63GW, uas yog qhov siab tshaj plaws txhua xyoo ntxiv peev xwm hauv keeb kwm Asmeskas. Piv txwv li, cov ntaub ntawv EIA qhia tau tias 48.6GW ntawm cov peev xwm siv tau siv rau xyoo 2024, qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2002, thaum kwv yees li 60GW ntawm cov peev xwm tshiab tau txuas nrog lub network.
Lub zog hnub ci kwv yees tias yuav suav txog 51.5% ntawm tag nrho cov peev xwm tshiab ntxiv rau xyoo 2025. Texas yuav ua tus thawj coj nrog 11.6GW ntawm lub peev xwm hnub ci tshiab, ua rau yuav luag 36% ntawm tag nrho cov hnub ci ntxiv. California ua raws li nrog 2.9GW, thaum tsib lub xeev ntxiv—Indiana, Arizona, Michigan, Florida, thiab New York—txhua tus yuav xa tawm ntau dua 1GW ntawm lub peev xwm.
Lub peev xwm khaws cia hluav taws xob yuav loj hlob ntau heev, ntxiv 18.2GW. Txawm hais tias daim ntawv tshaj tawm tsis muab cov ntsiab lus ntawm lub sijhawm khaws cia, ob lub khw muag roj teeb loj tshaj plaws, California thiab Texas, feem ntau xa cov kab ke nrog lub peev xwm khaws cia plaub teev thiab ob teev thiab ib nrab, raws li.
Texas yuav ntxiv 6.7GW ntawm qhov chaw cia khoom tshiab, ua raws li California nrog 4.3GW thiab Arizona nrog 3.6GW. Peb lub xeev no yuav suav txog ntau dua 80% ntawm tag nrho cov peev xwm cia roj teeb tshiab.
Ob qhov project roj teeb loj tshaj plaws uas tau npaj tseg rau xyoo 2025 txhua qhov muaj peev xwm ntawm 500MW. Ib qho nyob hauv Kern County, California, thiab yuav nyob ua ke nrog lub chaw tsim hluav taws xob hnub ci 500MW - lub chaw tsim hluav taws xob loj tshaj plaws uas tau npaj tseg rau xyoo no. Qhov project thib ob, hauv Wharton County, Texas, yuav raug txuas nrog lub chaw tsim hluav taws xob hnub ci 451.6MW, ua rau nws yog lub chaw tsim hluav taws xob hnub ci thib ob loj tshaj plaws uas tau teem tseg rau xyoo 2025.
Daim Ntawv Qhia Txog Lub Zog Luv Luv ntawm EIA qhia tau hais tias lub zog hnub ci me me (rau tsev nyob, lag luam, thiab kev lag luam) yuav ntxiv 7GW ntawm lub peev xwm, ua rau tag nrho lub peev xwm hnub ci faib tawm mus rau 60.6GW thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2025. Thaum muab ua ke nrog 32.5GW AC (42GW DC) ntawm lub peev xwm siv hluav taws xob, tag nrho cov module hnub ci xa tawm xyoo no tuaj yeem mus txog 50GW.
Thaum xub thawj, EIA tau kwv yees tias Tebchaws Meskas yuav xa ntau dua 50GW ntawm lub zog hnub ci hauv xyoo 2024, nrog rau nws daim ntawv qhia txog lub peev xwm thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis tseem khaws qhov kev kwv yees ntawd. Txawm li cas los xij, cov ntaub ntawv tshiab tshaj plaws qhia tias EIA tau hloov kho nws qhov kev kwv yees txog lub peev xwm xyoo 2024 qis dua li ntawm 7GW. Qhov kev hloov kho no sib haum nrog kev cia siab tias yuav muaj kev xa mus ntau ntxiv rau lub Ib Hlis 2025.
Lub caij no, Bloomberg New Energy Finance kwv yees tias Tebchaws Meskas cov chaw teeb tsa hnub ci hauv xyoo 2024 yuav ncav cuag ze li ntawm 50GW.
