Kutshanje, iSebe laseMelika lezoLawulo loLwazi lwaMandla (i-EIA) liqikelele ukuba ngo-2025, amandla elanga asetyenziswa kumlinganiselo we-utility scale aza kufikelela kwi-32.5GW, amandla okugcina amandla aza kudlula kancinci kwi-18GW, amandla omoya kulindeleke ukuba ongeze i-7.7GW, kwaye amandla egesi yendalo ye-fossil fuel aza kwanda nge-4.4GW.
Ngokwengxelo yamva nje ye-EIA yenyanga yokuqala ye-inventory yejenereyitha (i-EIA-860M), ukongezwa komthamo omtsha ngo-2025 kuya kufikelela malunga ne-63GW, nto leyo ephawula ukongezwa komthamo ophezulu wonyaka kwimbali yase-US. Xa kuthelekiswa, idatha ye-EIA ibonisa ukuba umthamo we-48.6GW wobungakanani bombane wasetyenziswa ngo-2024, inani eliphezulu ukusukela ngo-2002, xa malunga ne-60GW yomthamo omtsha yaqhagamshelwa kwigridi.
Kuqikelelwa ukuba amandla elanga aza kubalelwa kwi-51.5% yazo zonke izixhobo ezintsha ezongeziweyo ngo-2025. ITexas iza kukhokela nge-11.6GW yamandla amatsha elanga, nto leyo eza kwenza phantse i-36% yazo zonke izixhobo ezongeziweyo zelanga. ICalifornia ilandela nge-2.9GW, ngelixa amanye amazwe amahlanu—i-Indiana, i-Arizona, iMichigan, iFlorida, kunye neNew York—kulindeleke ukuba ngalinye lisebenzise amandla angaphezu kwe-1GW.
Umthamo wokugcina amandla kulindeleke ukuba ukhule kakhulu, wongeze i-18.2GW. Nangona ingxelo ingaboneleli ngeenkcukacha malunga nobude bexesha lokugcina, iimarike ezimbini ezinkulu zebhetri, iCalifornia neTexas, zihlala zisebenzisa iinkqubo ezinomthamo wokugcina weeyure ezine kunye nomthamo weeyure ezimbini ezinesiqingatha, ngokulandelelana.
Kulindeleke ukuba iTexas yongeze i-6.7GW yendawo yokugcina entsha, ilandelwe yiCalifornia ene-4.3GW kunye neArizona ene-3.6GW. La mazwe mathathu aza kubala ngaphezulu kwe-80% yayo yonke indawo yokugcina ibhetri entsha.
Iiprojekthi ezimbini ezinkulu zebhetri ezicwangciselwe u-2025 nganye inomthamo we-500MW. Enye ikwiKern County, eCalifornia, kwaye iza kudibana nesikhululo samandla elanga se-500MW—esona sikhululo samandla elanga esicwangciselwe unyaka. Iprojekthi yesibini, eWharton County, eTexas, iza kudityaniswa nesikhululo samandla elanga se-451.6MW, nto leyo eyenza ukuba ibe sisikhululo sesibini esikhulu selanga esicwangciselwe u-2025.
I-Extra-Term Energy Outlook ye-EIA ibonisa ukuba amandla elanga amancinci (ezokuhlala, ezorhwebo, kunye nemizi-mveliso) aya kongeza amandla elanga angama-7GW, nto leyo eza kwandisa amandla elanga asasazekileyo ukuya kwi-60.6GW ekupheleni kuka-2025. Xa zidityaniswe namandla elanga angama-32.5GW AC (42GW DC) ombane, ukusetyenziswa kwemodyuli yelanga iyonke kulo nyaka kunokufikelela kwi-50GW.
Ekuqaleni, i-EIA yayiqikelela ukuba i-US iza kusebenzisa amandla elanga angaphezu kwama-50GW ngo-2024, ingxelo yayo yangoNovemba igcina olo qikelelo. Nangona kunjalo, idatha yamva nje ibonisa ukuba i-EIA ihlaziye uqikelelo lwayo lwamandla ngo-2024 lwehla malunga ne-7GW. Olu hlaziyo luhambelana nokunyuka okulindelweyo kokusetyenziswa ngoJanuwari 2025.
Okwangoku, iBloomberg New Energy Finance iqikelela ukuba ukufakelwa kwamandla elanga eMelika ngo-2024 kuya kufikelela phantse kwi-50GW.
