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EIA: Imirasire y'izuba, ububiko, n'umuyaga bizatanga 93% by'ubushobozi bw'ingufu za Amerika mu 2025

Vuba aha, Ishami rya Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika rishinzwe Ingufu (EIA) ryahanuye ko mu 2025, ubushobozi bw'izuba bushobora kugera kuri 32.5GW, ubushobozi bwo kubika ingufu burenze gato 18GW, imbaraga z'umuyaga ziteganijwe kwiyongeraho 7.7GW, naho ubushobozi bwa gaze karemano buziyongeraho 4.4GW.

Nk’uko raporo y’ibanze y’ibarura ry’ibikoresho bya generator yakozwe na EIA (EIA-860M) ibivuga, umubare w’ibikoresho bishya mu 2025 uzagera kuri 63GW, bikaba ari byo byiyongeraho ubushobozi buri hejuru mu mateka ya Amerika mu mwaka. Mu kugereranya, amakuru ya EIA agaragaza ko 48.6GW by’ubushobozi bwo gukoresha mu ikoranabuhanga byakoreshejwe mu 2024, umubare munini cyane kuva mu 2002, ubwo 60GW by’ubushobozi bushya byahuzwaga n’urusobe rw’amashanyarazi.

Ingufu zikomoka ku mirasire y'izuba ziteganijwe kugira 51.5% by'ubushobozi bushya bwo kongeramo ingufu mu 2025. Texas izaba iyoboye ifite ubushobozi bushya bwa 11.6GW, igize hafi 36% by'ubushobozi bwose bwo kongeramo ingufu zikomoka ku mirasire y'izuba. California ikurikiraho ifite 2.9GW, mu gihe izindi leta eshanu—Indiana, Arizona, Michigan, Florida, na New York—ziteganijwe ko buri imwe izakoresha 1GW y'ubushobozi.

Biteganijwe ko ubushobozi bwo kubika ingufu buziyongera cyane, bikongeraho 18.2GW. Nubwo raporo idatanga ibisobanuro birambuye ku gihe cyo kubika, amasoko abiri manini ya bateri, California na Texas, asanzwe akoresha sisitemu zifite ubushobozi bwo kubika amasaha ane n'amasaha abiri n'igice.

Biteganijwe ko Texas izongeraho ububiko bushya bwa 6.7GW, hagakurikiraho California ifite 4.3GW na Arizona ifite 3.6GW. Izi leta eshatu zizaba zifite ubushobozi bwo kubika bateri nshya burenga 80%.

Imishinga ibiri minini cyane iteganijwe gukoreshwa mu 2025, buri imwe ifite ubushobozi bwa 500MW. Umwe uherereye mu Karere ka Kern, muri Kaliforuniya, kandi uzahuzwa n'uruganda rutanga ingufu z'izuba rwa 500MW—uru ruganda rutanga ingufu z'izuba runini ruteganyijwe gukoreshwa muri uyu mwaka. Umushinga wa kabiri, mu Karere ka Wharton, muri Texas, uzahuzwa n'uruganda rutanga ingufu z'izuba rwa 451.6MW, bityo ukaba urwa kabiri mu ruganda rutanga ingufu z'izuba ruteganijwe gukoreshwa muri 2025.

Isuzuma ry’ingufu z’igihe gito rya EIA rigaragaza ko imirasire y’izuba iciriritse (ikoreshwa mu ngo, mu bucuruzi, no mu nganda) izongeraho 7GW y’ubushobozi bw’izuba, bigatuma ubushobozi bw’izuba bukwirakwira bugera kuri 60.6GW mu mpera za 2025. Iyo ihujwe n’ubushobozi bw’ingufu z’amashanyarazi bwa 32.5GW AC (42GW DC), gukoresha module y’izuba muri uyu mwaka bishobora kugera kuri 50GW.

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Ku ikubitiro, EIA yateganyaga ko Amerika izakoresha ingufu zirenga 50GW z'izuba mu 2024, raporo yayo y'ubushobozi bwo gukoresha mu Ugushyingo ikomeza kwemeza ko izo ngufu zizaba zikoreshwa. Ariko, amakuru aheruka agaragaza ko EIA yavuguruye ubushobozi bwayo bwo gukoresha mu 2024 kugabanukaho hafi 7GW. Iri vugurura rijyanye n'ubwiyongere bw'ingufu zitangwa muri Mutarama 2025.

Hagati aho, Bloomberg New Energy Finance ivuga ko ingufu zikomoka ku mirasire y'izuba muri Amerika mu 2024 zizagera hafi kuri 50GW.